Desempeño 2023 de la Política Nacional de Desarrollo e Inclusión Social al 2030 en Perú: evaluación de indicadores y brechas estructurales

Pedro Conde     Chávez-Valverde; Walter Rolando     Zarate-Tacca; Graciela    Peña-Velásquez; Sara Milagros    Javier-Vílchez; Gina Maribel    Castillo-Huamán

doi:10.47606/ACVEN/PH0462

Authors

Pedro Conde Chávez-Valverde Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal – Perú https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4882-305X
Walter Rolando Zarate-Tacca Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal – Perú https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4624-1582
Graciela Peña-Velásquez Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal – Perú https://orcid.org/0009-0003-8511-273X
Sara Milagros Javier-Vílchez Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal – Perú https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7324-5215
Gina Maribel Castillo-Huamán Universidad Nacional Federico Villareal – Perú https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6908-2187

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47606/ACVEN/PH0462

Keywords:

social inclusion, public policy evaluation, structural gaps, human development, Peru.

Abstract

This study aimed to assess the 2023 performance of Peru’s National Policy for Development and Social Inclusion (PNDIS) 2030 through an evaluation of its strategic indicators and identification of structural gaps. A quantitative, descriptive, and cross-sectional non-experimental design was employed, based on documentary analysis of official data from MIDIS, MINSA, MINEDU, MTPE, and other sectoral institutions. Sixteen priority objective indicators were examined by comparing programmed targets with observed 2023 results. Findings reveal progress in health insurance coverage, rural electrification, and youth unemployment reduction; however, significant structural gaps persist in childhood anemia, educational transition, underemployment, pension coverage, and public safety. The results suggest that while PNDIS demonstrates strong operational performance in service expansion, structural determinants of inequality remain insufficiently addressed. Strengthened intersectoral coordination, territorially differentiated strategies, and impact-oriented monitoring are required to achieve the 2030 goals.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Banco Mundial. (2022). Poverty and shared prosperity 2022: Correcting course. World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1893-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1893-6

Banco Mundial. (2023). World development report 2023: Migrants, refugees, and societies. World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1941-4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1941-4

CEPAL. (2022). Panorama social de América Latina 2022. Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe. https://www.cepal.org

CEPAL. (2023). Panorama social de América Latina 2023. Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe. https://www.cepal.org

Devereux, S., & Sabates-Wheeler, R. (2004). Transformative social protection. IDS Working Paper, 232. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2040-0209.2004.tb00229.x

Esping-Andersen, G. (1990). The three worlds of welfare capitalism. Princeton University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/095892879100100108

Filgueira, F. (2014). Los regímenes de bienestar en América Latina: una revisión crítica. Revista CEPAL, 112, 7–27.

Heckman, J. J. (2006). Skill formation and the economics of investing in disadvantaged children. Science, 312(5782), 1900–1902. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1128898 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1128898

Howlett, M., & Ramesh, M. (2014). The two orders of governance failure: Design mismatches and policy capacity issues in modern governance. Policy and Society, 33(4), 317–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polsoc.2014.10.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.polsoc.2014.10.002

Instituto Nacional de Estadística e Informática. (2023). Perú: Evolución de la pobreza monetaria 2012–2022. INEI.

Lustig, N. (2018). Commitment to equity handbook: Estimating the impact of fiscal policy on inequality and poverty. Brookings Institution Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5040/9780815753827

Ministerio de Desarrollo e Inclusión Social. (2022). Política Nacional de Desarrollo e Inclusión Social al 2030 (D.S. N.º 008-2022-MIDIS). Gobierno del Perú.

Ministerio de Desarrollo e Inclusión Social. (2023). Reporte de cumplimiento de políticas nacionales 2022–2023. MIDIS.

OECD. (2021). Social protection system review of Peru. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/7491d66e-en

OECD. (2023). OECD economic surveys: Peru 2023. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_surveys-per-2023-en

Peters, B. G. (2018). Advanced introduction to public policy. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo. (2023). Human development report 2023/2024: Breaking the gridlock. UNDP.

Ravallion, M. (2016). The economics of poverty: History, measurement, and policy. Oxford University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780190212766.001.0001

Robinson, M. (2007). Does decentralisation improve equity and efficiency in public service delivery provision? IDS Bulletin, 38(1), 7–17. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1759-5436.2007.tb00333.x

Sen, A. (1999). Development as freedom. Oxford University Press.

Silver, H. (2015). The contexts of social inclusion. UN DESA Working Paper No. 144. https://doi.org/10.18356/6f3c3e9c-en

World Inequality Lab. (2022). World inequality report 2022. Harvard University Press.